Monday 25 March 2013

Session 10: Technology assessment and forecasting

This lesson, in my opinion, will be the most useful lesson that we learn. It gives us tools and guidelines to evaluate a technology to see if it is here to stay. All these guidelines only help to suggest if a technology is here to stay for reasons of making economic sense, meeting a global/ national need and more.

I liked reading 1 particularly because it lists the techniques and tools which we can use in a single website with descriptions on what they are and a detailed writeup on how to apply these techniques.

Today is interesting, because we spoke on many technologies which have yet to come into existence, which are in their relative infancies or in their prototype stages. It was like we were talking about nothing but not really. How invaluable it is for one to have sharp acumen in being able to see what will make it and what will not? Priceless, really. Yet through today I recognise that bureacratic red tape is all around the world, in different cultures, languages. It is tough to get funding to push for research of any brilliant project because there are many other pressing needs, and other solutions which require funds as well. Nobody has a perfect answer, and no one knows what could have been. Each nation has their own issues to address, and when the world comes together to set Global Objectives for 2030, I believe that it is a minimum benchmark for people to achieve, but is not applicable to all nations. Irony though, that poorer nations have less say. Poorer nations have been subjected to "aid" from foreign countries in exchange for pillaging of their natural resources. Some even suggest that this neverending exploitation might be the reason why these poor nations continue to be stuck in a poverty cycle.

Next, we also discussed the emergence of conglomerates today. Names such as Google, Samsung, Apple, General Electric and Siemens come into the picture. These giants possess technologies over extremely wide fields and there might come a day where they monopolise the markets. In fact, it might have already taken place. Where technology transcends barriers and the world becoming a global village, would there come a time in the far fetched future where global objectives are set by conglomerates (who possess the basket of technologies and the resources to make change happen)? Certainly, there is much to consider because country, family and individual has been the societal structure adopted since thousands of years ago. Yet in the name of efficiency, I really wonder what it would be like.

At the end of the day, technology changes and the tools used to measure these technologies change. Yet the thought process of checking how it is relevant or not by weighing up different factors and taking up different perspectives of relevant stakeholders remains invaluable. This is what I think I took away today. Only time will tell.

Today's session: 10/10

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